Psychology Book Content :
Introduction
PART I—OUR MENTAL MACHINERY
Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking1
Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can’t We See
What Is There To Be Seen?7
Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember
What We Know?17
PART II—TOOLS FOR THINKING
Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment:
Transcending the Limits of Incomplete Information
Chapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information?
Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind
Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical Problems
Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses
PART III—COGNITIVE BIASES
Chapter 9: What Are Cognitive Biases?
Chapter 10: Biases in Evaluation of Evidence
Chapter 11: Biases in Perception of Cause and Effect
Chapter 12: Biases in Estimating Probabilities
Chapter 13: Hindsight Biases in Evaluation of
Intelligence Reporting
PART IV—CONCLUSIONS
Chapter 14: Improving Intelligence Analysis
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